tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post1845625938555082437..comments2023-11-02T06:14:07.871-04:00Comments on Quantifiable Edges: Selloff In Financials Incredibly PersistentRob Hannahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07596674657839065754noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post-37912149905221892252008-06-20T11:09:00.000-04:002008-06-20T11:09:00.000-04:00Jack,Good question but difficult to answer. The i...Jack,<BR/><BR/>Good question but difficult to answer. The issue is I would need to rebuild the S&P 100 over the years and use data from extinct securities. It's possible to do, but more work and expense than I'm willing to take on to answer the question. My shortcut was to simply look back 10 years using the current S&P 100. Obviously the further back I look the less accurate the results are since additional index changes would be excluded.<BR/><BR/>Anon & Jimmy,<BR/><BR/>Good idea. I did play around with this last night. I looked at it a number of ways and found no compelling evidence for either the bullish or bearish case. The degree of the divergence between the Dow and Nasdaq IS unusual, but it doesn't appear to be consistently predictive of direction over the times frames I looked at.<BR/><BR/>RobRob Hannahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07596674657839065754noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post-27550932359252437672008-06-19T22:14:00.000-04:002008-06-19T22:14:00.000-04:00i meant...could be that techs not as exposed to cr...i meant...<BR/><BR/>could be that techs not as exposed to credit meltdown but not all Dow STOCKS are exposed too.<BR/><BR/>JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post-44328893700205742182008-06-19T22:12:00.000-04:002008-06-19T22:12:00.000-04:00Anoymous, last huge difference between the Dow and...Anoymous, <BR/><BR/>last huge difference between the Dow and Nasdaq i can remembered was the late stage of the internet bubble leading up to early March 2000. remember Warren Buffit being on the hot seat for not owning tech stocks? yeah, just curious why the difference. could be that techs not as exposed to credit meltdown but not all Dow techs are exposed too. very strange.<BR/><BR/>JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post-88868058182784410962008-06-19T16:07:00.000-04:002008-06-19T16:07:00.000-04:00What would be interesting is to find any time fram...What would be interesting is to find any time frame that nasdaq and dow have such a big difference... and what happen afterward... I mean the difference bewteen nasdaq and dow is just huge!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2676650858658561710.post-5383194210628761302008-06-19T07:07:00.000-04:002008-06-19T07:07:00.000-04:00Rob,In the time frame you referenced there was onl...Rob,<BR/><BR/>In the time frame you referenced there was only one persistent bear market (2000-2003). How many occurrences would you find if you went back to the 1970s?<BR/><BR/>Cheers.<BR/>Jackrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15098814541454357567noreply@blogger.com