What stood out to me about Monday was the fact that the market gapped higher by such a large amount and failed to close positive on the day. Below I look at other times the SPY gapped up 1% and finished negative.

While instances are a bit low, additional downside follow through was often seen over the next 1-3 days.
I think this bear market dead cat bounce is over. I think that those who think that this is a significant bear market rally or a 'stealth bull market' beginning (ho ho), are wrong.
ReplyDeleteA bear market rally is overdue but this is not it.
The fact that the talking numptyheads (good Scottish word) think that this is a rally is evidence that it is not.
Good analysis as always Rob.
Market ups n down is still going on.
ReplyDeleteInvitation letter
Well looks like I am wrong so far. Still think that the medium term outlook is lower.
ReplyDeleteGreat analysis Rob.