Wednesday, March 14, 2012

A Compelling Sign Of Intermediate-Term Strength

Yesterday’s move to new highs was accompanied by very strong breadth. The Up Volume % on the NYSE came in at 91%. It is fairly unusual to see such strong breadth occur when the market is hitting an intermediate-term high. The results below show all non-overlapping instances of a 50-day SPX high with greater than 90% upside volume since 1970.



These results are very compelling. 100% winners (16 for 16) and the average instance closed up 5.8% when looking out 50 days. This appears to be a nice piece of evidence for the bull case.

3 comments:

  1. Hi, Whats the symbol for SPX and VIX in Tradestation?

    Thanks for your help and great work,
    Tania

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  2. Interesting post, but I'm not sure that last 27th october 90% up volume confirms this. I think after 50 day the market goes down.

    Please may you confirm this?

    Thanks,

    Marc Garrigasait

    ReplyDelete
  3. Tatitrader -

    $SPX.X and $VIX.X

    Marc -

    Overlapping instances are not considered in this study. The signal came on 10/18/11.

    Best,
    Rob

    ReplyDelete