Monday, October 6, 2008

An Elevated VIX Study

On Friday the VIX closed above 45 for the 2nd day in a row. This is the 1st time since the VIX has been measured back to in 1990 that this has happened. Meanwhile the VXO closed above 50 for the 2nd day in a row. The only other time readings this high can be seen were in a back-adjusted 1987 period during and after the crash. I ran some tests to see how the market has performed the week following back to back readings above other extremely high levels:

While the instances get low over 40, average profits of greater than 5% over the next 5 days across the board are quite impressive.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Awesome study. Please include the data of over 45 for VIX for 2 days, I guess in 5 (trading ?) days.