It is notable that the VIX spiked up 16% on Monday and closed at the highest level since June. In the past when it has closed at a high level on a strong move there has been a tendency for the SPX to bounce over the next few days. This can be seen in the study below from the 5/15/12 blog. (Stats are updated.)
The numbers appear compelling. Below is a profit curve using a 2-day hold.
This study has been persistently bullish for a long time and certainly appears worth consideration.
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